With all the attention given to the recent surge in Treasury (UST) yields, there has been an interesting by-product in the process: steepening yield curves. Remember when inverted yield curves were ...
Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...
The degree of inversion has now either set a record or is at its most negative differential in over 40 years. Is a recession inevitable given the inverted nature of the UST yield curve? Looking at ...
Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...
Here at The Indicator we've been on recession watch ever since the yield curve inverted at the end of last year. For the uninitiated, the yield curve shows different interest rates on government bonds ...
There is much talk these days about the yield curve, and what its shape can tell us about the future of markets. I will not review the analytics of the curve because it is exhaustively covered in the ...
Economists tend to see an inverted US bond-yield curve as an indicator that a recession is coming. Yields on Treasury bonds remain inverted, which could be a classic recession warning. But it's no ...
You know that once-mythical soft landing thing that Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee referenced in his recent interview with Marketplace? It’s the thing where inflation is tamed but ...
When it comes to the U.S. economy, an inverted yield curve is like the monster under the bed: It’s always lurking, but it doesn’t always come out. Recently it has, however, which could be an early ...
Embed <iframe src="https://www.npr.org/player/embed/4757047/4757048" width="100%" height="290" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="NPR embedded audio player ...
Historical charts show inverted yield curves often precede recessions. Therefore, many conclude that today's inverted yield curve means a recession is coming. The problem is, that link is a sloppy ...
The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...
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