Dec 6, 2022 · Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

We simulate the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios our model thinks is possible.

Apr 22, 2021 · An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Jan 13, 2021 · FiveThirtyEight is tracking which senators and representatives agree and disagree most with Donald Trump.

Sep 30, 2016 · If Johnson or Stein voter or leaners, ask... What if the election were just between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump? If it were just the two of them, for …

The third-party candidates listed represent our best approximation of who will appear on each district’s general election ballot. The candidates listed will update as each race is finalized; …

The candidates listed will update as each race is finalized; some listed candidates may not ultimately qualify for the general election.This analysis treats currently vacant seats as being …

[ { "candidate": "Trump", "party": "REP", "date": "2024-11-05", "pct_estimate": 47.70895, "hi": 48.774834999999996, "lo": 46.7367025 }, { "candidate": "Harris ...

Nov 8, 2022 · Latest forecasts and polls for the 2022 House elections from ABC News’s FiveThirtyEight

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors …